Probability β L01.1 Overview
Probability β L01.2 Sample Space
Probability β L01.3 Sample Space Examples
Probability β L01.4 Probability Axioms
Probability β L01.5 Simple Properties of Probabilities
Probability β L01.6 More Properties of Probabilities
Probability β L01.7 A Discrete Example
Probability β L01.8 A Continuous Example
Probability β L01.9 Countable Additivity
Probability β L01.10 Interpretations & Uses of Probabilities
Probability β L02.1 Lecture Overview
Probability β L02.2 Conditional Probabilities
Probability β L02.3 A Die Roll Example
Probability β L02.4 Conditional Probabilities Obey the Same Axioms
Probability β L02.5 A Radar Example and Three Basic Tools
Probability β L02.6 The Multiplication Rule
Probability β L02.7 Total Probability Theorem
Probability β L02.8 Bayesβ Rule
Probability β L03.1 Lecture Overview
Probability β L03.2 A Coin Tossing Example
Probability β L03.3 Independence of Two Events
Probability β L03.4 Independence of Event Complements
Probability β L03.5 Conditional Independence
Probability β L03.6 Independence Versus Conditional Independence
Probability β L03.7 Independence of a Collection of Events
Probability β L03.8 Independence Versus Pairwise Independence
Probability β L03.9 Reliability
Probability β L03.10 The Kingβs Sibling
Probability β L04.1 Counting Lecture Overview
Probability β L04.2 The Counting Principle
Probability β L04.3 Die Roll Example
Probability β L04.4 Combinations
Probability β L04.5 Binomial Probabilities
Probability β L04.6 A Coin Tossing Example
Probability β L04.7 Partitions
Probability β L04.8 Each Person Gets An Ace
Probability β L04.9 Multinomial Probabilities
Probability β L05.1 Random Variable Overview
Probability β L05.2 Definition of Random Variables
Probability β L05.3 Probability Mass Functions
Probability β L05.4 Bernoulli & Indicator Random Variables
Probability β L05.5 Uniform Random Variables
Probability β L05.6 Binomial Random Variables
Probability β L05.7 Geometric Random Variables
Probability β L05.8 Expectation
Probability β L05.9 Elementary Properties of Expectation
Probability β L05.10 The Expected Value Rule
Probability β L05.11 Linearity of Expectations
Probability β L06.1 Lecture Overview
Probability β L06.2 Variance
Probability β L06.3 The Variance of the Bernoulli & The Uniform
Probability β L06.4 Conditional PMFs & Expectations Given an Event
Probability β L06.5 Total Expectation Theorem
Probability β L06.6 Geometric PMF Memorylessness & Expectation
Probability β L06.7 Joint PMFs and the Expected Value Rule
Probability β L06.8 Linearity of Expectations & The Mean of the Binomial
Probability β L07.1 Lecture Overview β Conditioning of Random Variable; Independence of r.v.βs
Probability β L07.2 Conditional PMFs
Probability β L07.3 Conditional Expectation & the Total Expectation Theorem
Probability β L07.4 Independence of Random Variables
Probability β L07.6 Independence & Expectations
Probability β L07.7 Independence, Variances & the Binomial Variance
Probability β L07.8 The Hat Problem
Probability β S07.1 The Inclusion-Exclusion Formula
Probability β S07.2 The Variance of the Geometric
Probability β S07.3 Independence of Random Variables Versus Independence of Events
Probability β L08.1 Lecture Overview β Continuous RV and PDFs
Probability β L08.2 Probability Density Functions
Probability β L08.3 Uniform & Piecewise Constant PDFs
Probability β L08.4 Means & Variances
Probability β L08.5 Mean & Variance of the Uniform
Probability β L08.6 Exponential Random Variables
Probability β L08.7 Cumulative Distribution Functions
Probability β L08.8 Normal Random Variables
Probability β L08.9 Calculation of Normal Probabilities
Probability β L09.1 Lecture Overview β Conditioning on an event; Multiple RVs
Probability β L09.2 Conditioning A Continuous Random Variable on an Event
Probability β L09.3 Conditioning Example
Probability β L09.4 Memorylessness of the Exponential PDF
Probability β L09.5 Total Probability & Expectation Theorems
Probability β L09.6 Mixed Random Variables
Probability β L09.7 Joint PDFs
Probability β L09.8 From The Joint to the Marginal
Probability β L09.9 Continuous Analogs of Various Properties
Probability β L09.10 Joint CDFs
Probability β S09.1 Buffonβs Needle & Monte Carlo Simulation
Probability β L10.1 Lecture Overview
Probability β L10.2 Conditional PDFs
Probability β L10.3 Comments on Conditional PDFs
Probability β L10.4 Total Probability & Total Expectation Theorems
Probability β L10.5 Independence
Probability β L10.6 Stick-Breaking Example
Probability β L10.7 Independent Normals
Probability β L10.8 Bayes Rule Variations
Probability β L10.9 Mixed Bayes Rule
Probability β L10.10 Detection of a Binary Signal
Probability β L10.11 Inference of the Bias of a Coin
Probability β L11.1 Lecture Overview
Probability β L11.2 The PMF of a Function of a Discrete Random Variable
Probability β L11.3 A Linear Function of a Continuous Random Variable
Probability β L11.4 A Linear Function of a Normal Random Variable
Probability β L11.5 The PDF of a General Function
Probability β L11.6 The Monotonic Case
Probability β L11.7 The Intuition for the Monotonic Case
Probability β L11.8 A Nonmonotonic Example
Probability β L11.9 The PDF of a Function of Multiple Random Variables
Probability β S11.1 Simulation
Probability β L12.1 Lecture Overview
Probability β L12.2 The Sum of Independent Discrete Random Variables
Probability β L12.3 The Sum of Independent Continuous Random Variables
Probability β L12.4 The Sum of Independent Normal Random Variables
Probability β L12.5 Covariance
Probability β L12.6 Covariance Properties
Probability β L12.7 The Variance of the Sum of Random Variables
Probability β L12.8 The Correlation Coefficient
Probability β L12.9 Proof of Key Properties of the Correlation Coefficient
Probability β L12.10 Interpreting the Correlation Coefficient
Probability β L12.11 Correlations Matter
Probability β L13.1 Lecture Overview
Probability β L13.2 Conditional Expectation as a Random Variable
Probability β L13.3 The Law of Iterated Expectations
Probability β L13.4 Stick-Breaking Revisited
Probability β L13.5 Forecast Revisions
Probability β L13.6 The Conditional Variance
Probability β L13.7 Derivation of the Law of Total Variance
Probability β L13.8 A Simple Example
Probability β L13.9 Section Means and Variances
Probability β L13.10 Mean of the Sum of a Random Number of Random Variables
Probability β L13.11 Variance of the Sum of a Random Number of Random Variables